Fire SlimesTier 2
at Abyssal Heaven Regionals
decks
2
(5.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
5-5-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.7%
avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
46.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1161
· median 1161
· range 1128–1193
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058
Q1 1143
Q3 1305
1382
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 16.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Fire Exia | 8.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.8 |
| Slimes | 8.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +4.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -0.9 |
| Water Genbu | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.9 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Wind Beast | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
